Forecasts imply that even if there is a housing recovery, home prices will raise very much. The national median existing home price is making an annual decline. Dampening demand, the national inventory of unsold homes now stands at 7.4 months. A year ago the supply was 4.5 months. Home sellers need to trim prices further as incentive to buyers. The prevailing buyers market is alarmingly close to making the statistic of the first time since the Great Depression that there was a annual national median home price decline.

Mortgage risks are compounding the problems. The Center of Responsible Lending said that 2.2 million subprime home loans have failed or will end in foreclosure. The report said that 19% of subprime mortgages originated in the past two years will end in foreclosure. That is almost one in five subprime loans.

Most loans are not subprime. The MBA (Mortgage Bankers Association in Washington DC) says that recent foreclosure data indicates a 1.05% foreclosure rate with a 3.86 percent jump for subprime loans.