Option ARMs remain a viable option in the mortgage environment. Despite the many problems in the mortgage market, lending brokers are still willing to make risky loans - including those that allow borrowers to make monthly payments that don't even cover the interest (so-called 'option ARMs'). Also , as reported in Money New York, still is surprisingly still widely available are 'no-doc' loans, which require no income verification, and mortgages with no downpayment according on the CNN Money report on Apr 14, 2007
Further housing weakness will be triggered by a credit crunch was predicted by UCLA Anderson Forecast in a recent Investment Business Daily article.
UCLA Anderson Forecast predicted growth to rise and a fed funds rate to 4.5% from 5.25% and they see at least two, if not three, Fed rate cuts keeping economic growth this year in positive territory. Lower mortgage rates are on the horizon.
With a 8 1/2 month backlog of housing inventory, a drop in mortgage interest rates would rev up a few engines. The National Association of Realtors said that pending home sales rose 0.7%, a gain that came despite bad weather and the impact from subprime mortgage problems.
Unsold home inventory shot up 5.9% in February to 3.75 million while the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.16% in February according to Freddie Mac.
Existing-home sales 3.9% rise in sales for February. It would take 6.7 months to sell off the excess inventory of homes at the current real estate sales pace.
Subprime woes have left the housing industry in an adjustment phase with borrowers with poor credit defaulting on mortgage loans. Estimates suggest it will cut housing demand by 100,000 to 200,000 units annually.
Rising subprime mortgage defaults can add 500,000 homes to the U.S. real estate inventory according to a Bloomberg morning report. Speculation looms for New Century as they consider bankruptcy. In the meanwhile, new mortgage lending is halted at New Centrury.
Mortgage applications rose 3.2% in the week ending February 23 and were up 8.8% vs. the same week last year according to Mortgage Bankers Association. The average rate for 30-year fixed rate loans fell to a 7-week low of 6.16%.
The monthly decline was the sharpest in 13 years showing continued weakness in the unsteady housing sector
According to the Commerce Department new single-family home sales fell to an annualized rate of 937,000 units from an upwardly revised rate of 1.123 million units in December of 2006.
In the Northeast, new home sales fell 18.7 percent while they decreased 8.1 percent in the Midwest and 9.7 percent in the South. The West saw the sharpest decline in new home sales with a 37.4 percent drop.
