Surprisingly, construction spending is up and Master Card purchases are on an increase. Reports show that the U.S. grew at a 3.9 percent pace in the third quarter. Even though home building activity is plunging, exports grew at the fastest rate in nearly 4 years. All this good economic news while inflation seems tame.
Oh yeah, did we mention the quarter percent rate cut? The Fed cut .25 basis point off the rate to make it 4.5%.
Mortgage applications rose 8.1% and refinancing applications surged. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell 15 basis points to 5.98% last week which was the lowest since October 2005.
Home builder stocks rose on the data which was further fueled by a Toll Bros., the luxury home builder. Report that they anticipate a market bottom. Additionally, Citigrop upgraded the home builder stock sector.
When make an appraisal for a home mortgage the bias is for a higher appraised value. When engaging in a property tax appeal the bias is for finding a lower home value.
That, however, does not address the mass appraisal process that communities engage in. Mass appraisals are done cheaply. Often it is the lowest cost service that will hire college students to take the measurements and make observations. Past data is frequently rolled forward. The most expensive property on the block may be used as the point of reference. In equalities are abundant.
Consumer Reports (Nov.1992 v57 nil p.723) published that property tax records show an error rate of 40% exists in estimating property taxes.
The National Taxpayers Union ("How To Fight Property Taxes" 2004 p.1) writes that as many as 60% of all homeowners are over-assessed and not in line with their home value.
If your mortgage payment reflect a surge, it may be because your property taxes have increased. An excellent and inexpensive eBook that can guide you with the calculations you’ll need in the process can be found at http://www.housetaxax.com
According to the Appraisal Institute, problems with appraisal fraud could be addressed if lenders used only competent appraisers to begin with, and if mortgage broker and appraiser licensing standards were tightened.
Mortgage applications are beginning to rise, however existing home sales are lackluster. The number of homes available for sale is decreasing which is a positive indication that the market is stabilizing. The 16% drop in mortgage activity for the first half of 2006 was heavily influenced by non-traditional loans. Strong demand for interest only options was an influence.
The Federal Reserve FOMC (federal open market comittee) meeting left interest rates unchanged at their meeting Tuesday, October 26, 2006. Not withstanding Lehman Brothers prediction that the Fed will have to tighten by at least another quarter point to stem inflation pressures, Federal funds futures give no indication of any coming rate hike or cut for the next several meeting. The cooling of the housing market was indicated a prime factor in the no change vote.
On the defensive side, one of the largest mortgage lenders is cutting 2,500 jobs to weather out the housing slump. Hoping to save $500 million, Countrywide is cutting down its labor force.
However, the second home market has seen activity with the baby boomers. A recent survey shows future growth in second homes due to the sheer size of the baby boom generation.
Property taxes take a beating supporting early retiring government employees. Senior employees are good for government providing they can do the job. With much of the government unionized in an archaic form, it is difficult to terminate or sideline an employee. Unlike a construction unions, where, if the worker is undesirable, the contracting firm can fire that employee. If that union member has issues that make him or her undesirable, that person simply does not get hired.
Reforming government unions should be high on the list of taxpayer reforms. A new competitive union needs to rise similar to that of the United Brotherhood of Carpenters for government employees. Benefits would accrue to the workers and hiring and firing decisions would originate with the government employer. Employees would be terminated as workplace changes dictate without penalty to the employer. Those hired would be on an as needed basis. Tenure would be replace by an apprentice program.
It is either that or some entrepreneur needs to step up to the plate and fashion a skilled workers program (similar to Manpower or other outside contracting agencies) to outsource jobs for all the categories of government workers. Naturally a mega agency would be too ambitious a start, but basic services could be outsourced.
Pressure needs to be put on government unions to reform or be replaced. Government is getting too expensive. Cost cutting reforms without cutting service has simple solutions but entail lots of political wrangling.
If employees work longer it give local, state or federal governments the benefit for having to pay fewer years of retirement. Considering many retire after 20-years service at 70% pay, the financial drain on taxpayers is enormous.
Taxpayers could get almost double the bang for the same dollar by insisting local, state or federal employees reach 65 years of age or work 40-years before they are eligible for retirement. That would put them on par with the majority of working Americans. There is no reason to treat government employees as a privileged class.
“The world is a dangerous place to live – not because of the people who are evil but because of the people who don’t do anything about it.” – Albert Einstein, scientist
Apply a property tax guide to any home or property: Get the right values and plug in the figures for your house. Don't get stuck on the learning curve scratching you head what to do next. Eliminate mistakes in property taxes and property tax appeals.
American are a little less upbeat about economic prospects . Event the Economic Optimism Indes fell 2.2 points to 53.5 for the week. 50 is neutral, so we are still in the good news range.
In response to the increasingly slow housing market, mortgage companies are adjusting their businesses and layoffs are increasing.
Interestingly, according to the National Association of Realtors, existing-home sales, finishing the third-best year on record, are projected for 2006 at 6.47 million, a decline of 8.6 percent. In 2007, they’re expected to rise steadily from the current cyclical low and reach an annual total of 6.40 million, which would be 1.0 percent lower than this year’s total.
Also worth noting, Congress recently passed a new tax deduction that allows low- and moderate-income homebuyers to deduct mortgage insurance premiums from their federal taxes if they make less than $100,000.
