Existing home sales are dropping sales at the fastest pace in 18 years. New home sales have improved slightly. The good news is the mortgage rates have dropped for the time being. Naturally, all hinges on the inflation fears and the perceived direction prices are going when the Federal Reserve eyeballs them. The sub-prime problems hurt the lender as much as the borrowers being the mortgage companies have to find a buyer to recoup their investment.
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Mortgage rates have remaind stable due to the Federal Reserve not raising interest rates. The pre-owned single family home sales market is soft this seaon. Subprime lending and adjustable rate market find many battling foreclosure because of greed for home ownership and premium interest rates. Consumers with poor credit and financial flaws put themselves and their banks in risk.
Prices are going raising as the cost of living goes up. Property values shrinking, wages and the job market is still decent. The burden of local, state and the federal government are spending money like drunken sailors and it's only the American fighting attitude that keeps the working guy/gal able to continue. We all know that consumer inflation is far higher than the 2.1 percent official CPI inflation rate. Politicians are “cooking” the books. Eventually the markets will self-correct, but will we ever get spend-thrift politicians?
Surprisingly, construction spending is up and Master Card purchases are on an increase. Reports show that the U.S. grew at a 3.9 percent pace in the third quarter. Even though home building activity is plunging, exports grew at the fastest rate in nearly 4 years. All this good economic news while inflation seems tame.
Oh yeah, did we mention the quarter percent rate cut? The Fed cut .25 basis point off the rate to make it 4.5%.
Mortgage applications are beginning to rise, however existing home sales are lackluster. The number of homes available for sale is decreasing which is a positive indication that the market is stabilizing. The 16% drop in mortgage activity for the first half of 2006 was heavily influenced by non-traditional loans. Strong demand for interest only options was an influence.
The Federal Reserve FOMC (federal open market comittee) meeting left interest rates unchanged at their meeting Tuesday, October 26, 2006. Not withstanding Lehman Brothers prediction that the Fed will have to tighten by at least another quarter point to stem inflation pressures, Federal funds futures give no indication of any coming rate hike or cut for the next several meeting. The cooling of the housing market was indicated a prime factor in the no change vote.
On the defensive side, one of the largest mortgage lenders is cutting 2,500 jobs to weather out the housing slump. Hoping to save $500 million, Countrywide is cutting down its labor force.
However, the second home market has seen activity with the baby boomers. A recent survey shows future growth in second homes due to the sheer size of the baby boom generation.
