The mortgage activity rate sank 5.5% in the week ending October 6, 20006. This all after surging to a 9 month high in the prior week according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Mortgage rates shot up this week which probably dampened demand.
Even the most simple loan can be structured better. Get the structure that is best deal for you.
Always evaluate:
- * 100% Financing lowest payment 80/20 vs. 75/25
- * Lowest Payment 1-month MTA Pay Option vs. 5/25 Fixed Pay Option
- * A smoother easier loan approval by REDUCING Stated Income
- * A mortgage still qualifies for A pricing
- * Qualifying at Interest Only vs. Principal & Interest
- * Does the structure of your 1003 make for a sale-able loan?
Mortgage rates have remaind stable due to the Federal Reserve not raising interest rates. The pre-owned single family home sales market is soft this seaon. Subprime lending and adjustable rate market find many battling foreclosure because of greed for home ownership and premium interest rates. Consumers with poor credit and financial flaws put themselves and their banks in risk.
Prices are going raising as the cost of living goes up. Property values shrinking, wages and the job market is still decent. The burden of local, state and the federal government are spending money like drunken sailors and it's only the American fighting attitude that keeps the working guy/gal able to continue. We all know that consumer inflation is far higher than the 2.1 percent official CPI inflation rate. Politicians are “cooking” the books. Eventually the markets will self-correct, but will we ever get spend-thrift politicians?
Mortgage applications are beginning to rise, however existing home sales are lackluster. The number of homes available for sale is decreasing which is a positive indication that the market is stabilizing. The 16% drop in mortgage activity for the first half of 2006 was heavily influenced by non-traditional loans. Strong demand for interest only options was an influence.
The Federal Reserve FOMC (federal open market comittee) meeting left interest rates unchanged at their meeting Tuesday, October 26, 2006. Not withstanding Lehman Brothers prediction that the Fed will have to tighten by at least another quarter point to stem inflation pressures, Federal funds futures give no indication of any coming rate hike or cut for the next several meeting. The cooling of the housing market was indicated a prime factor in the no change vote.
On the defensive side, one of the largest mortgage lenders is cutting 2,500 jobs to weather out the housing slump. Hoping to save $500 million, Countrywide is cutting down its labor force.
However, the second home market has seen activity with the baby boomers. A recent survey shows future growth in second homes due to the sheer size of the baby boom generation.
Nationwide, one in every 92 households is in foreclosure with Nevada having the highest foreclosure rate! According to RealtyTrac, more than 1.2 million foreclosure fillings were reported in the U.S. last year. Foreclosures could rise as some 1.5 trillion in adjustable-rage mortgage get repriced this year. Couple that with declining home prices and increase property taxes and one can be whistling some sour notes.
Home prices fell in 17 out of 20 cities in November compared with October 2006 data according to a recent MacroMarkets and Standard and Poors report. Although home prices in some cities did rise, nation wide there is no sign of the downtrend in real estate prices slowing down.
Property tax rates continue to skyrocket in many areas because of weak-kneed elected officials not reigning in expenses or living within town budgets. Many municipalities are soft on curbing excesses or cutting budgets. Rising property tax payments make many homeowners budgets too tight and they are not able to keep up.
Many banks have promoted hybrid and adjustable mortgage loans some with no and others with low down payments. With delinquent mortgage payments and foreclosures far above year-ago levels, indications are that hard financial times are gaining on many. Ballooning interest rates often surprise those who hold an adjustable-rate or sub-prime mortgage and when it is time to refinance, many are left with no option but foreclosure.
Some banks were, in some cases, even selling houses and forgiving debt. Do some of these banks feel some culpability for some creative loans they have saddled the homebuyer with? If they studied their customers' financial profile, they might never have made those loans. Do these banks fear scrutiny given the strong likelihood that their customers mortgage interest rate would be higher and unaffordable upon the refinance period? It's not unreasonable to expect mortgage rates to return to that double-digit territory as the economy cycles through a downturn.
A hybrid mortgage may be an appropriate choice if one plans to live in their house only for three or four more years. The first years of a hybrid loan are generally charged at a lower rate than traditional fixed-rate loans and if one plans to move and sell the home in a few years, it makes sense. If, for some reason, one don’t sell the home, they’re gambling using any form of a hybrid mortgage loan since it converts to an adjustable rate.
Hard times and rising payments make for tight budgets. If one wants predictability and the security of paying the same interest rate for the life of the loan, a fixed-rate mortgage is the smart choice. Rates are still low, by historical comparisons and given many economic forecasts of a weaker dollar and predictions for higher interest rates, locking in a fixed rate will reward one with peace of mind.
A 3% drop in weekly mortgage applications apparently attributed to a slight rise in interest rates. Long-term rates rose as mirrored by the index increasing to 570.8 in the week ending October 27 from the prior week. The average 30-year rate hit 6.36 percent October 20 as compared to a 6.18% rate in mid September.
Further housing weakness will be triggered by a credit crunch was predicted by UCLA Anderson Forecast in a recent Investment Business Daily article.
UCLA Anderson Forecast predicted growth to rise and a fed funds rate to 4.5% from 5.25% and they see at least two, if not three, Fed rate cuts keeping economic growth this year in positive territory. Lower mortgage rates are on the horizon.
With a 8 1/2 month backlog of housing inventory, a drop in mortgage interest rates would rev up a few engines. The National Association of Realtors said that pending home sales rose 0.7%, a gain that came despite bad weather and the impact from subprime mortgage problems.
