Surprisingly, construction spending is up and Master Card purchases are on an increase. Reports show that the U.S. grew at a 3.9 percent pace in the third quarter. Even though home building activity is plunging, exports grew at the fastest rate in nearly 4 years. All this good economic news while inflation seems tame.
Oh yeah, did we mention the quarter percent rate cut? The Fed cut .25 basis point off the rate to make it 4.5%.
American are a little less upbeat about economic prospects . Event the Economic Optimism Indes fell 2.2 points to 53.5 for the week. 50 is neutral, so we are still in the good news range.
In response to the increasingly slow housing market, mortgage companies are adjusting their businesses and layoffs are increasing.
Interestingly, according to the National Association of Realtors, existing-home sales, finishing the third-best year on record, are projected for 2006 at 6.47 million, a decline of 8.6 percent. In 2007, they’re expected to rise steadily from the current cyclical low and reach an annual total of 6.40 million, which would be 1.0 percent lower than this year’s total.
Also worth noting, Congress recently passed a new tax deduction that allows low- and moderate-income homebuyers to deduct mortgage insurance premiums from their federal taxes if they make less than $100,000.
Good news for those applying for mortgages. Mortgage rates sunk to 6.18% with the benchmark 3-year fixed rate mortgage indicator, ending November 22. The rate had been 6.24% one week earlier and a year ago it stood at 6.8%.
Applications for new home buyers slid 2.8% and applications for all mortgages fell 3.7% for the week of November 17th.
A Harvard study show a more upbeat view of the current housing market value correction than offered by most economists. All hinges on the course of employment growth and interest rates. The run up in housing demand over the years is buoyed by the huge increase of immigrants and their children and relatives. That trend should continue for the foreseeable future.
Both political parties are paper tigers when it comes to immigration reform. The situation is not like it was with most 2nd generation immigrants parents who had to go through strict Ellis Island immigration standards.
The number of foreclosed home returning to the market is having an effect on builders and investors. Home market values should continue a downward trend as the growing problem of affordability strengthens. The downward pressure on wages due to the large influx of immigrants is taking its toll. High housing cost and non-housing expenses leaves home ownership on a slippery slope.
Existing home sales are dropping sales at the fastest pace in 18 years. New home sales have improved slightly. The good news is the mortgage rates have dropped for the time being. Naturally, all hinges on the inflation fears and the perceived direction prices are going when the Federal Reserve eyeballs them. The sub-prime problems hurt the lender as much as the borrowers being the mortgage companies have to find a buyer to recoup their investment.
With the declining real estate prices in many parts of the country, now is a good time to scrutinize comparable market values to your home. In a declining real estate market winning your property tax appeal is almost a sure thing. Housetaxax.com is an excellent source of property tax appeals. House Values & Property Taxes Confidential information on house market values for property tax appeals.
One of the largely unreported white collar crimes in the mortgage business is that loan officers inflate the income of marginal buyers so they are approved to buy a home they can not possibly qualify for.
Greed on the part of the buyer for supposedly inflated home valuation and greed on part of the mortgage lender for a juicy commission. The bank regulators looked the other way, the mortgage higher ups tacitly approved the practice and now with a declining real estate market buyers are bailing out in droves. Foreclosures are rampant.
Unsuspecting investors buy these mortgage obligations from brokers assuming they bought a sound investment. For instance Goldman Sachs , one of the top sellers of C.M.O.’s (collateral mortgage obligations) for the past few years sold about $100 billion to unsuspecting investors.
With the real estate decline, the bubble popped and everyone is looking for a scapegoat.
The real cause is the mortgage scams and lack of enforcement in inflating mortgage applications at the entry level. With the interest only mortgage obligations, greed on part of all parties involved perpetuated the fiasco.
